PMP项目管理：项目风险管理练习题４

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1．When the risk event probabilities are multiplied by their respective estimated risk event values (in dollars) and are then added together, the sum represents the:
A．Project manager ’s risk aversion quotient
B．Total project risk events
C．Expected monetary value of the project’s risk
D．Scope planning
当风险事件概率乘以他们相应的风险事件估计价值 ( 以美元计) ,然后加在一起的总和表示:
A．项目经理的风险厌恶系数
B．总的项目风险事件
C．项目风险的预期估价
D．范围规划

2．Which of the following utility functions reflect risk aversion?
A．Uniform
B．Increasing rate
C．Decreasing rate
D．Exponential
下列哪一个效用函数反映着厌恶风险?
A．一致性
B．递增比率
C．递减比率
D．指数

3． A project manager states, “I know that the risk exists and am aware of the possible consequences．I am willing to wait and see what happens．I accept the consequences should they occur．” He /she is exercising the method of risk reduction．
A．Transfer
B．Avoidance
C．Mitigation
D．Assumption
某项目经理说,"我知道有风险存在,而且注意到其可能的后果我愿意等着看会发生什么事万一他们确实发生,我接受其结果" 他对于减少风险是在用什么方式
A．转移
B．回避
C．降低
D．接受

4． A project manager states, “I will take the necessary measures required to control this risk by continuously reevaluating it and developing contingency plans or fall-back positions．If the risk event occurs, I will take the appropriate actions.” He/she is exercising the method of risk reduction．
A．Transfer
B．Avoidance
C．Mitigation
D．Acceptance
某项目经理人说," 我将会采取必要的措施去控制风险, 通过不断地反复评估风险, 制定应变计划或重做
如果风险事件确实发生, 我将会采取适当的行动"该经理是在运用什么方式去减少风险
A．转移
B．回避
C．降低
D．接受

5．If a project manager has a very low tolerance for risk, he is said to be:
A．Risk averse
B．Risk tolerant
C．Risk reluctant
D．Methodical
如果一个项目经理对风险难以忍受,,他是:
A．厌恶风险的
B．能承受风险的
C．不愿意有风险的
D．有办法的

6．If the minimum payoffs of four different strategies A1, A2, A3, and A4 are –10, 15, 0, and –20 respectively, which strategy would a project manager choose, using the “maximin” or Wald criteria (risk avoide r)?
A．Strategy A1
B．Strategy A2
C．Strategy A3
D．Strategy A4
如果四个不同的策略 A1 A2 A3 和 A4 的最小报酬分别是-10,15,0, 和-20, 用” 最小最大化”或Wald 标准(避免风险), 项目经理会选择哪一个策略?
A．策略 A1
B．策略 A2
C．策略 A3
D．策略 A4

7．The iterative process that helps determine those risks that might affect the project and documenting their characteristics is known as:
A．Risk identification
B．Risk-handing
C．Lessons learned
D．Risk analysis
反复检查,以帮助决定哪些风险会影响项目,并记录风险的特性.这个过程被称为是:
A．风险识别
B．风险处理
C．经验教训学习
D．风险分析

8．Based on the data in the table below, which strategy has the highest expected value?
A．S1
B．S2
C．S3
D．S4
Payoff Table (Profit in Millions)
Strategy Scenario 1 25% Scenario 2 50% Scenario 3 25%
S1 　　　　　　80 　　 　　　　50 　　　　　　120
S2 　　　　　　80 　　 　　　　80 　　　　　　　80
S3 　　　　　　160 　　 　　　120 　　　　　　-20
S4 　　　　　　20 　　 　　　　40 　　　　　　20
S5 　　　　　　-20 　　 　　　　0 　　　　　　-60
基于下表数据计算, 哪一策略有最高的期望值?
A．S1
B．S2
C．S3
D．S4

9．Risk can have a positive or negative impact on a project．Future events or outcomes that are favor able are called:
A．Risks
B．Opportunities
C．Benefits
D．Contingencies
风险对项目可能有正面或负面的影响
未来的事件或结果是有利的被称为:
A．风险
B．机会
C．受益
D．意外事件

10．Using the figure below, what is the probability that project1 will be selected and completed successfully?
A．50%
B．30%
C．60%
D．40%
用下面数字计算,项目1 将会被选择并且成功完成的概率是多少?
A．50%
B．30%
C．60%
D．40%